Friday, June 19, 2015

Friday 6/19/2015

The daily chart shows price yesterday making a higher low and higher high, closing above the MM MA and monthly pivot. Yesterday's move also took out last week's high, so I am going with my preferred designation that last week's high was merely a multi-day high, not a multi-week high. Under that scenario, price is still searching for its now-overdue MW high. There is a solid possibility that last week's multi-week low was also a multi-month low, and under that scenario it would be normal for the MW high to extend out in time coming out of a MM low. The green MW MA has flattened out with the recent price action, lending support to the belief that a multi-month low has been seen. There is also the possiblity, should price rally for an extended period, that there was another muted intervening MW high and MW low, but that will be addressed if proven necessary. In either scenario, price is bullishly on the upside of the MW and likely MM cycles, which should enable new highs to be seen in the coming weeks.





The hourly chart shows price making a 24Hr low at the confluence area of the weekly pivot, MD MA and MW MA then rallying until early afternoon where it made its 24Hr high. Price has since moved sideways around the gold Session MA. It is uncertain whether a 24Hr low made during this sideways trading, but a 24Hr high is projected for early afternoon. Given that we are overdue for a multi-day high to be seen, it is quite possible that the high several bars ago that made a near double-top with yesterday's high was an early 24Hr high. If so, price should see a good-sized decline today through the daily pivot and down to the monthly pivot at the 2091 area or even lower to the MD MA/MW MA confluence near 2089.


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