Tuesday, November 3, 2015

Tuesday 11/3/2015

The daily chart shows price yesterday opening below its daily pivot and making a lower low versus Friday's candle, but finding support on the MD MA and weekly pivot and rallying for a higher high and higher close.   Price today has opened above its daily pivot and thus far is little changed from yesterday.

Price continues riding MD MA support on the upside of the multi-week cycle.   The MW high is projected for tomorrow, and while Wednesday highs often mark MW highs, the projected date carries zero weight for investing or trading purposes.  When price breaks below the MD MA and turns that average downward, we will know the MW high has been seen.  Given the overdue nature of the MM high, it is very likely that it will also mean the MM high has been seen. This should see price begin a decent-sized correction, but it cannot be emphasized enough that the best trade will be going long once the multi-month low has been seen.



The hourly chart shows price yesterday easily breaking above the 24Hr MA and daily pivot and rising strongly throughout the day.  This trend day up indicates that the early A.M. low was a multi-day low.    I have added an intervening 24Hr low on daily pivot support and 24Hr high below 24Hr MA resistance, both occurring on Friday; there were arguments against these being a 24Hr low and high when I contemplated them yesterday, but the subsequent price action argues in favor of the designations.



We are in the timeframe to see a 24Hr low; price is currently attempting to find support for this low on the 24Hr MA, and this MA or the daily pivot below are logical places for the 24Hr low to be seen.  Since we should have at least one more 24Hr cycle high before seeing a MD high and the MW high is not projected until tomorrow, price should be able to take out yesterday's high by the close.  When price is able to trade above the gold Session MA and turn that average upward, it will indicate that the 24Hr low has been seen and that MA will then provide support for price the remainder of the day.


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