Thursday, February 4, 2016

Thursday 2/4/16

Price yesterday made a lower high and lower low versus Tuesday but closed higher as price found soft support on the MW MA.   Price today has thus far made a higher high but is currently trading below yesterday's close.
 
It is still unclear whether Monday was a multi-week high or merely a multi-day high.   If it was a MW high, price should continue to find resistance at the MD MA as it trades lower into its MW low projected for 2/11.  If it was merely a MD high, price should eclipse that high within the next couple of days. 
 
 
 
The hourly chart shows price making a 24Hr high at daily pivot resistance just after the NY open.  Price then fell sharply into its 24Hr low just one bar later, as price found soft support on the MW MA.  Price was able to eclipse yesterday's high in overnight trading, indicating that yesterday's low was a MD low.  We have since fallen sharply in pre-market trading as price searches for its 24Hr low which is projected for noon.  If we are on the upside of the MD cycle, price should find support here at the daily pivot; failure to do so would indicate that the overnight high was also an early MD high; this would confirm Monday as a MW high and we should expect price to trade lower for the next week.
 
 

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