Thursday, July 16, 2015

Thursday 7/16/2015

The daily chart shows price for the fourth straight day making a higher low and higher high. Thus far today price has opened above the daily pivot and made a higher low and high. Price continues on the upside of the multi-week cycle, and as it challenges all-time highs it is looking increasingly likely that it is also on the upside of the monthly cycle. If so, we will eventually see a higher multi-week low (the MW high is already overdue) and the green MW MA will also turn upwards. The multi-month high is projected for mid-August, giving price plenty of remaining time in the MM cycle to make new highs. Failure to do so would be a strong indication that the multi-year cycle has indeed seen its high and is rolling over.



The hourly chart shows price essentially trading sideways yesterday as price once again corrected in time rather than price. The 24Hr low was made an hour before the close just below the daily pivot but price quickly regained the pivot and traded higher overnight.


The 24Hr highs have lengthened recently, and the multi-day cycle is well overdue to see a MD high and low. The apparent muting of these cycles is another indication that we are likely on the upside of the multi-month cycle as well as the multi-week cycle. While the odds increase that the next 24Hr high will also be a multi-day high, there is little certainty how long the MD cycle will remain muted and it is increasingly difficult to project the 24Hr high itself.  


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