An attempt to provide a framework to the stock market's seemingly random gyrations. This blog is for my personal use and is not intended to be taken as investment advice. Abbreviations and terms often used: MY = multi-year / MM = multi-month / MW = multi-week / MD = multi-day / MA = moving average / session cycle (5-7 hour cycle)
Friday, July 27, 2012
Anatomy of an Idiot: mid-morning update for 7/27/12
Who would only be looking to go short while the market climbs 50 pts, 200 pts, and 100+ pts in successive days? A lousy trader, that's who. A.K.A. "This Guy". While acknowledging that the monthly pivot (pink horizontal line) could have turned the multi-week cycle up early, I nevertheless maintained a bearish outlook and rather than looking to go long on dips to the white 24Hr MA or yellow daily pivots, I instead looked for opportunities to short into a market that was ripping upward. It's mind-boggling how I can not only miss these moves, but often be on the wrong side of them. Discouraging end to a discouraging week.
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