Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Tuesday 1/12/16

Price yesterday made a lower high and lower low but slightly higher close versus Friday's candle.   Price today has opened above its daily pivot and taken out yesterday's high, behavior indicative of price being on the upside of the multi-day cycle.  It is possible that yesterday also marked the overdue multi-week low, but until price is able to trade above the blue MD MA and turn that average upward this will remain speculation.

If price requires one more MD cycle before finding its MW low, price will find resistance at the MD MA and turn lower.  If yesterday was also a MW low, price should test the green MW MA before its next MW high (projected for 1/22).   It is also possible that yesterday could prove to be a multi-month low, in which case price could move even higher before finding its next multi-month high (also projected for the week of 1/22).




The hourly chart shows price yesterday making its 24Hr high under daily pivot resistance and then falling into an early, slightly lower 24Hr low.   Price in overnight/pre-market trading was finally able to break through daily pivot/24Hr MA resistance, indicating that yesterday was a multi-day low.  We have since taken out yesterday's high as price searches for its 24Hr high projected for 11:00am EST.  It is likely that the next 24Hr high will also be the overdue MD high, and the blue MD MA or weekly pivot would be a logical place for this high to be made.  If yesterday was also a MW low, it is possible that both the 24Hr high and MD high will extend in time and we could see price rally throughout the day.  For scalpers or day traders, any dips down to the brown Session MA should be bought until price reaches the MD MA, then more caution will be needed as we see how price interacts with that resistance.  For swing traders, one should be long until price visits the MW MA.


No comments:

Post a Comment